Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)


	Malmö		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.65	3.5	1.85
	4.6	3.4	1.87
	4.7	3.49	1.87
	4.33	3.4	1.88
	4.4	3.6	1.89
	4.7	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.77)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malmö
20.9%

Draw
27.6%

Union Berlin
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

27.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	14.8%	70.5%

Malmö - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 9 - 14.8%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 43 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 59.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Malmö has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has a very small chance of 3rd (5%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Union Berlin has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (7%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a good chance of 3rd (58%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 48, importance 42, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Moisander N. (Injury) Nalic A. (Knee Injury) Pena S. (Injury) Siby M. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Baumgartl T. (Illness) Maciejewski T. (Illness) Michel S. (Red Card) Mohwald K. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.10.22	Malmö - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Helsingborg - Malmö	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Saint-Gilloise - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.22	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Malmö - Braga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
01.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Braga - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.09.22	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.26	Malmö - Hammarby	✺
28.10.26	Halmstad - Malmö	✺
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
01.11.26	Union Berlin - Köln	✺

Malmö - Union Berlin