Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	6.5	Watch
	1.32	4.95	9.3	Watch
	1.33	5.32	9.02
	1.33	5.07	8.83	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.31	5.2	8.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 (1.32)	5.18 ↑ (4.8)	8.43 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
70.9%

Draw
18%

Port Vale
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.1%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cardiff City - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 4. Osho G. 48. Lawlor D. 23. Scanlon C. 18. Robertson A. 27. Colwill J. 14. Turnbull D. 10. Colwill R. (C) 47. Robinson C. 22. Salech Y.	46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 27. Campbell E. 12. Walters R. 18. Croasdale R. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 15. Gordon L. 21. Sherif M.
Substitutes
3. Bagan J. 2. Fish W. 8. Kellyman O. 38. Ng P. 11. Tanner O. 16. Willock C. 6. Wintle R.	13. Amos B. (G) 11. Archer E. 3. Headley J. 50. Hernandez O. 35. Magloire T. 26. Shipley J. 19. Waine B.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Brady J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Robertson A. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
62', Robinson C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
62', Osho G. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
72', Sherif M. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
72', Hall G. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
72', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
73', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Colwill R. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
81', Turnbull D. 🟨,
83', Scanlon C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
85', Croasdale R. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
90+2', Colwill J. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Cardiff is Qualified for Championship

Cardiff is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Chambers C. (Inactive) King E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Injury) Kyle John (Inactive) Ojo F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Stockley J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
18.04.26	Reading - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Huddersfield Town - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cardiff City - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWTT
- Port Vale
English League One
19.04.26	Port Vale - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Peterborough United - Port Vale	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Port Vale - Barnsley	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Port Vale - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.04.26	Chelsea - Port Vale	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.08.25	Port Vale - Cardiff City	0:0
English League Cup
26.08.14	Port Vale - Cardiff City	2:3

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