Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Mansfield Town		Everton U21

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.75
	1.4	5	6
	1.45	4.88	6.1
	1.45	4.89	6.1
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.41	4.8	6.1
	1.39	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	4.82 ↑ (4.2)	6.08 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
65.7%

Draw
19.1%

Everton U21
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

21.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Mansfield Town - Everton U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flinders S. (G) 2. Johnson C. 19. Cooper G. 6. Cargill B. 11. MacDonald C. 3. McLaughlin S. 22. Williams G. 44. Boateng H. 28. Abdullah M. 26. Swan W. 12. Gale J.	12. Virginia J. (G) 23. Coleman S. 38. Astley R. 73. Campbell E. 48. Kyle John 61. Dobbin L. 82. Djankpata H. 86. Metcalfe J. 58. Hunt M. 88. Okoronkwo F. 28. Chermiti
Substitutes
99. Anderson T. 9. Bowery J. 24. Brunt L. 34. Flanagan F. 14. Flint A. 10. Maris G. 1. Pym C. (G)	79. Barker O. 52. Barrett J. (G) 54. Butler J. 75. Dixon R. 83. Heath I. 46. McAllister S. 67. Sherif M.
Coaches
Clough N.	Tait P.

Preview

Recent matches Mansfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Everton U21 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
31.10.23	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Mansfield Town - Walsall	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW
- Everton U21
English Premier League 2
04.11.23	Manchester United U21 - Everton U21	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Newcastle United U21 - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Everton U21 - Arsenal U21	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.09.23	Burton Albion - Everton U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
22.09.23	Everton U21 - Norwich City U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
30.11.22	Everton U21 - Mansfield Town	2:1
27.08.19	Mansfield Town - Everton U21	1:2 penalties

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