Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 13

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Notts County		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.85
	2.3	3.75	2.8	Watch
	2.39	3.83	2.82
	2.25	3.6	2.88
	2.27	3.72	2.84	Watch
	2.24	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.08)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	2.84 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
41.2%

Draw
25.7%

Mansfield Town
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	16.7%	27.8%

Notts County - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Slocombe S. (G) 5. Rawlinson C. 2. Brindley R. 15. Baldwin A. 11. Nemane A. 16. Bostock J. (C) 8. Austin S. 18. Palmer M. 7. Crowley D. 17. McGoldrick D. 9. Langstaff M.	1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 11. MacDonald C. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 8. Clarke O. 10. Maris G. 7. Akins L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 41. Gill C. 28. Macari L. 27. Morias J. 6. O'Brien J. 26. Stone A. (G) 33. Tipton O.	44. Boateng H. 24. Brunt L. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 2. Johnson C. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Williams L.	Clough N.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1.

Recent matches Notts County is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Mansfield have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Notts County - Derby County	1:2 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Barrow - Notts County	1:1 ✺
03.10.23	Notts County - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Colchester United - Notts County	5:4 ✺
23.09.23	Notts County - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLW
- Mansfield Town
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Gillingham - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.02.19	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:0
08.12.18	Mansfield Town - Notts County	2:0
17.03.18	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
24.10.17	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:2
English League Two
30.09.17	Mansfield Town - Notts County	3:1
14.01.17	Notts County - Mansfield Town	0:0
08.10.16	Mansfield Town - Notts County	3:1

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