Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Mansfield Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.49	4.66	6.78
	1.45	4.78	7.22
	1.44	4.6	6.5
	1.45	4.55	6.55	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	4.61 ↑ (3.9)	6.59 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
65.1%

Draw
20.5%

Walsall
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mansfield Town - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 8. Clarke O. 10. Maris G. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 7. Akins L.	1. Evans O. (G) 7. Riley J. 2. Okagbue D. 5. Daniels D. (C) 3. Gordon L. 10. Knowles T. 14. Comley B. 25. Stirk R. 8. Hutchinson I. 26. Tierney R. 39. Johnson D.
Substitutes
44. Boateng H. 6. Cargill B. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 2. Johnson C. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.	21. Allen T. 12. Foulkes J. 42. Griffiths H. 11. James-Taylor D. 9. Matt J. 22. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Clough N.	Sadler M. J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2.

Mansfield is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Walsall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Walsall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mansfield to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
24.10.23	Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTT
- Walsall FC
English League Two
24.10.23	Walsall - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Newport County - Walsall	3:3 ✺
14.10.23	Walsall - Gillingham	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Sutton United - Walsall	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.01.23	Walsall - Mansfield Town	2:1
15.10.22	Mansfield Town - Walsall	2:1
15.01.22	Mansfield Town - Walsall	2:0
11.09.21	Walsall - Mansfield Town	3:1
09.02.21	Walsall - Mansfield Town	1:1
31.10.20	Mansfield Town - Walsall	1:1
26.10.19	Walsall - Mansfield Town	1:2

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