Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Asia	Q Arena Asia
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Mexico	Claro Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
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Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fubo Sports Network, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 2


	Marítimo		Benfica

	1	X	2
	15.00	6.50	1.15	Watch
	12.00	7.00	1.20
	12.50	6.40	1.21	Watch
	14.80	7.72	1.20
	14.05	7.06	1.2
	14.00	7.65	1.16
	16.70	7.25	1.20
	14.00	7.00	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.13 ↑ (9.6)	7.07 ↑ (5.41)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
6.7%

Draw
13.4%

Benfica
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.9%

17.5%

72.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

17%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marítimo - Benfica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pastor A. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 4. Fernandes R. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 6. Andrade R. 18. Danilovic V. 35. Limbombe B. 17. Butzke A. 10. Tejon M.	24. Soares S. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. (C) 2. Lenglet C. 26. Dahl S. 18. Barreiro L. 36. Palhinha J. 27. Rafa Silva 10. Sudakov G. 25. Prestianni G. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
21. Alani I. 66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 90. Boakye M. 8. Dominguez M. 5. Nilton 16. Silva F. 22. Szalai G. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 30. Vieites F. (G)	72. Anisio 8. Aursnes F. 5. Barrenechea E. 3. Circati A. 22. Duran J. 13. Kaminski J. 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu Silva 77. Moreira G. 62. Neto J. 21. Schjelderup A. 1. Trubin A. (G)
Coaches
Van der Gaag M.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Barreiro L. ⚽,
17', Bah A. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
40', Danilovic V. 🟨,
41', Sudakov G. 🟨,
42', Igor Juliao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Araujo T. 🟨,
62', Rafa Silva ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
62', Sudakov G. ↓, Circati A. ↑,
66', Limbombe B. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
66', Danilovic V. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
66', Circati A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
78', Igor Juliao ↓, Nilton ↑,
78', Butzke A. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
82', Pavlidis V. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
82', Palhinha J. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Prestianni G. ⚽,
90+2', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 0.

Marítimo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Benfica is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Marítimo: Ogbeta N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Benfica: Wynder J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Marítimo: Santiago Perez J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Inactive) Barrenechea E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:66. (average 0.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
29.08.26	Arouca - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Famalicão - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Marítimo - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
31.08.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Benfica	1:3 ✺
20.08.26	Benfica - AGF Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.08.26	Casa Pia - Benfica	0:7 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Hearts - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
12.03.23	Marítimo - Benfica	0:3
18.09.22	Benfica - Marítimo	5:0
30.04.22	Marítimo - Benfica	0:1
19.12.21	Benfica - Marítimo	7:1
05.04.21	Benfica - Marítimo	1:0
30.11.20	Marítimo - Benfica	1:2
29.06.20	Marítimo - Benfica	2:0

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