The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 10.7%
Draw 19.4%
Sporting Lisbon 69.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.5%
20.2%
68.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.5%
18.5%
74.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.9%
4.7%
84.4%
Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon will win
(54 of 64 users predict this - 84.38%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.49% – 93.27%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Marítimo has the most likely position - 17 (39.17%), has project points - 27, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sporting has the most likely position - 4 (48.24%), has project points - 67, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (41%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality51, importance54, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
Marítimo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Marítimo have a series of guest games.
Recently Sporting have a series of home games.
In this match Sporting is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Essugo D.
(Red Card)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
Morita H.
(Injury)
Neto
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Marítimo: Catamo G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting: St. Juste J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 27 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 22-52.
Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.
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