Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.55	2.85	3	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.95
	2.69	2.94	3.11
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.59	3	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
36.7%

Draw
32.2%

Fagiano Okayama
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matsumoto Yamaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
23.05.21	Tochigi - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:0 ✺
15.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	Albirex Niigata - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
05.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
01.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTWW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
23.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
16.05.21	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama	4:2 ✺
05.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
01.05.21	Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.11.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
02.09.20	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
16.07.18	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0
17.03.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
20.08.17	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0
25.06.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
27.11.16	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:2

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