Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3	2.55	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.49
	3.19	3.01	2.58
	3	2.8	2.5
	3.02	3.08	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.86)	2.99 ↑ (2.94)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
31.3%

Draw
31.4%

Machida Zelvia
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machida Zelvia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	23.1%	57.7%

Matsumoto Yamaga - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
29.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:3 ✺
23.05.21	Tochigi - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:0 ✺
15.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	Albirex Niigata - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
05.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTTW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
30.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
23.05.21	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
16.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
09.05.21	Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
05.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.11.20	Machida Zelvia - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
29.07.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Machida Zelvia	0:2
18.08.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Machida Zelvia	0:1
21.03.18	Machida Zelvia - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1
26.08.17	Machida Zelvia - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
13.05.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Machida Zelvia	1:1
12.11.16	Machida Zelvia - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1

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