Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.46	5.22	5.05
	1.47	5.22	5.06
	1.45	4.67	5.64
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	4.98 ↓ (5.03)	5.96 ↓ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
66%

Draw
18.6%

Harrow Borough
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.2%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

16.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Handley T. ⚽,
3', 1 - 1, Talla L. ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
24', 3 - 1, Mehew O. ⚽,
31', 4 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 5 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
63', Tobin T. 🟥,
65', 6 - 1, Rees R. (Pen),
77', 7 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

Harrow is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Merthyr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Merthyr is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
20.04.24	Totton - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Merthyr Town - Hendon	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWW
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
20.04.24	Harrow Borough - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.11.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2
04.03.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2
22.10.22	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	2:2
26.03.22	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:1
20.11.21	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	1:2
04.01.20	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	2:2
10.08.19	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:0

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