Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 11

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.85	2.25
	3.05	2.92	2.3
	2.95	2.86	2.35
	3.05	3.03	2.33	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.72)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.33 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
30.4%

Draw
31%

Viktoriya Sumy
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Metalist will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pletnyov P. (G) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. (C) 19. Kaydalov D. 2. Mizyuk O. 31. Porokh B. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.	31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 18. Dedukh R. 17. Dedyaev A. 45. Ilchuk I. 6. Khamelyuk V. 15. Kirichenko D. 70. Lyegostayev A. 16. Novotryasov A. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)
Substitutes
29. Abramov Y. 39. Gryshchenko I. 38. Igorovych G. 27. Isaenko Y. 46. Kolotay M. 9. Lutsiv V. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 48. Prymak D. 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 21. Zdankov D. (G)	8. Dobrokhotov Y. 27. Dolinskyi D. 77. Kharchenko M. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 4. Melnyk D. 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 22. Shpyryonok A. 5. Vasyliev O. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Dedyaev A. ⚽,
28', Novotryasov A. ↓, Melnyk D. ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Vernattus D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vlaga K. ↓, Abramov Y. ↑,
46', Kaydalov D. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,
56', Lyegostayev A. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Tsvirenko O. ⚽,
61', Kirichenko D. ↓, Kharchenko M. ↑,
61', Lyegostayev A. ↓, Shpyryonok A. ↑,
78', Tsvirenko O. ↓, Gryshchenko I. ↑,
81', Dedyaev A. ↓, Ryabyi D. ↑,
81', Sharay S. ↓, Dobrokhotov Y. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Dobrokhotov Y. ⚽,
87', Porokh B. 🟨,
90', Digtyar K. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).

In recent outings, Metalist has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Viktoriya has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Metalist has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Metalist has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metalist against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	11	6	3	2	14:8	6	21
7	Metalist Kharkiv	11	4	3	4	13:13	0	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.10.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inhulets - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLW
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.10.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.03.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1
06.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide