Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Metropolitan Police		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.1
	1.7	3.8	3.5
	1.63	4.1	4
	1.64	4.45	4.22
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.61	4.15	4.33
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	4.06 ↑ (3.95)	3.99 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
55%

Draw
22.3%

Yate Town
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Metropolitan Police - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Metropolitan Police could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metropolitan Police is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
21.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
26.11.22	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	5:4 ✺
22.11.22	Yate Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:4 ✺
19.11.22	Salisbury - Yate Town	0:0 ✺
15.11.22	Bracknell Town - Yate Town	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.02.22	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	0:4
27.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	1:0
19.09.20	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	1:1
22.02.20	Metropolitan Police - Yate Town	2:0
12.10.19	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0

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