Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Metropolitanos		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.35	3
	2.23	3.15	3
	2.25	3.45	3.23
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.26	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.62)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
41.8%

Draw
28.3%

Montevideo Wanderers
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	23.8%	28.6%

Metropolitanos - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Wanderers will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metropolitanos have a series of guest games.

Recently Wanderers have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.05.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Metropolitanos	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.04.22	Zamora - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	5:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWWT
- Montevideo Wanderers
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos	1:1

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