Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Metz		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.6
	1.8	3.15	5
	1.81	3.3	4.3
	1.86	3.4	4.92
	1.85	3.2	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.69)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	4.55 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
51.2%

Draw
28.2%

Valenciennes
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	13.2%	28.9%

Metz - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 22 - 57.9%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 11 - 28.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 42.2% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Metz has the most likely position - 1 (16.55%), has project points - 66, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Valenciennes has the most likely position - 15 (7.12%), has project points - 48, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, importance 38, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Metz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
08.08.22	Caen - Metz	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Metz - Amiens	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Metz - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
20.07.22	Reims - Metz	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Metz - Troyes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
06.08.22	Valenciennes - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Bordeaux - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Niort - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Paris FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
06.03.21	Valenciennes - Metz	0:4
French Ligue 2
03.05.19	Metz - Valenciennes	3:0
17.12.18	Valenciennes - Metz	0:2
18.01.16	Valenciennes - Metz	2:1
17.08.15	Metz - Valenciennes	2:0

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