Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Miami		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.72
	3.75	4	1.75
	3.45	3.7	1.96
	3.96	4.01	1.78	Watch
	3.88	3.9	1.77	Watch
	3.75	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	3.89 ↑ (3.7)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: IND (WBFS – Miami, FL)

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Current Win Probability

Miami
24.7%

Draw
23.7%

Monterey Bay
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monterey Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Miami - Monterey Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye K. (G) 13. Knutson D. 14. Barbir D. 4. Cardona N. 29. Mitrano A. 50. Molina R. 5. DeZart J. 8. Cabral G. 99. Gavilanes A. 11. Lopez F. 19. Lawrence M.	16. Siaha A. (G) 3. Doner M. 30. Greene K. (C) 5. Guzman C. 12. Robinson G. 64. Ayon J. 99. Gnaulati X. 11. Martinez W. 7. Rebollar A. 15. Dixon A. 10. Gutierrez D.
Substitutes
16. Botta M. 33. DePaula L. 23. Genzano R. 35. Joseph S. 7. Luisinho 15. Murana M. 18. Palacios J. C. 31. Rodriguez F. 34. Santana M.	13. Fehr M. 32. Gallaway P. 24. Glasser M. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Herrera C. (G) 4. Lara A. 9. Trager T.
Coaches
Nocerino A.	Stewart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rebollar A. 🟨,
22', Ayon J. 🟨,
40', Ayon J. 🟨,
45+2', Lawrence M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ⚽, Cardona N. (A),
54', Nocerino A. 🟨,
60', Rebollar A. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
60', Dixon A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
72', Gnaulati X. ↓, Glasser M. ↑,
72', Lawrence M. ↓, Murana M. ↑,
72', Barbir D. ↓, Palacios J. C. ↑,
88', Knutson D. 🟨,

Preview

Miami has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monterey Bay is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monterey Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monterey Bay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Miami won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
24.08.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Miami - Memphis 901	1:5 ✺
10.08.24	El Paso Locomotive - Miami	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Loudoun United - Miami	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Miami - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
24.08.24	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	New Mexico United - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Monterey Bay - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Louisville City - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.06.23	Monterey Bay - Miami	1:0
24.09.22	Miami - Monterey Bay	0:0

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