Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Middlesbrough		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.50	5.50	Watch
	1.55	4.75	5.00
	1.50	4.60	5.40
	1.56	4.97	5.24
	1.52	4.74	5.2	Watch
	1.53	4.90	4.95
	1.51	4.75	5.07	Watch
	1.51	4.70	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.74 ↓ (4.77)	5.17 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
61.9%

Draw
19.9%

Cardiff City
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

19.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Middlesbrough - Cardiff City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Middlesbrough (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League and 19th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4.

Middlesbrough has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Cardiff have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Middlesbrough is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Middlesbrough in today's match, at odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:19 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Middlesbrough against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20:14	6	21
19	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	16:15	1	10

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.71% Cardiff: 1.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
13.10.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTW
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
13.10.26	Cardiff City - Watford	5:1 ✺
10.10.26	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Cardiff City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Cardiff City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.25	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	1:1
31.08.24	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	0:2
27.04.24	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	1:4
03.10.23	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	2:0
11.02.23	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	1:3
13.09.22	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	2:3
27.04.22	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	2:0

Middlesbrough - Cardiff City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide