Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Middlesbrough		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.9
	1.74	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.87	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.73	3.68	4.61	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)	3.75 ↑ (3.52)	4.53 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
54%

Draw
25.2%

Blackburn Rovers
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	0%	10.4%

Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.54% – 98.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 5. Jones A. 3. Targett M. 14. Gilbert A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 11. Whittaker M. 17. Hamilton M. 9. Conway T. 13. Strelec D.	1. Pears A. (G) 12. Miller L. 15. McLoughlin S. 43. Pratt G. 40. Litherland M. 6. Tronstad S. 25. Morishita R. 19. Hedges R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 23. Ohashi Y. 18. Henriksson A.
Substitutes
24. Bangura A. 16. Browne A. 10. Burgzorg D. 25. Edmundson G. 6. Fry D. 27. Hansen S. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K.	38. Atcheson T. 24. Baradji M. 14. De Neve D. 52. Dlamini N. 47. Doherty A. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 35. Michalski N. (G) 3. Pickering H. 4. Ribeiro Y.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Jones A. ↓, Edmundson G. ↑,
31', Gilbert A. 🟨,
33', Morishita R. 🟨,
45+2', Morishita R. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Edmundson G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
46', Hamilton M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
67', Gilbert A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
73', Targett M. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
76', Hedges R. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,
76', Tronstad S. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
80', Hackney H. 🟨,
90+3', Henriksson A. ↓, Dlamini N. ↑,
90+3', Cantwell T. ↓, Ribeiro Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1.

Middlesbrough is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Blackburn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Blackburn has had a series of home games.

In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Calf Injury) Kante A. (Groin Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morris A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Alebiosu R. (International duty) Carter H. (Calf Injury) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Kargbo A. (Leg Injury) Montgomery K. (Ankle Injury) Toth B. (Knee Injury) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

We predict that Middlesbrough will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.5:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.96%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
20.12.25	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
20.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:2
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
English League Championship
27.11.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
16.03.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
16.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1
29.12.22	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	1:2
15.10.22	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	1:2

Upcoming Matches