Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	12:00	Disney+
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	20:30	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	16:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	10:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV2
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	23:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	20:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	18:00	Exxen
Turkmenistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	15:00	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, Inter


	Middlesbrough		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.9
	1.74	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.87	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.73	3.68	4.61	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)	3.75 ↑ (3.52)	4.53 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
54%

Draw
25.2%

Blackburn Rovers
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	0%	10.4%

Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.54% – 98.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 5. Jones A. 3. Targett M. 14. Gilbert A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 11. Whittaker M. 17. Hamilton M. 9. Conway T. 13. Strelec D.	1. Pears A. (G) 12. Miller L. 15. McLoughlin S. 43. Pratt G. 40. Litherland M. 6. Tronstad S. 25. Morishita R. 19. Hedges R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 23. Ohashi Y. 18. Henriksson A.
Substitutes
24. Bangura A. 16. Browne A. 10. Burgzorg D. 25. Edmundson G. 6. Fry D. 27. Hansen S. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K.	38. Atcheson T. 24. Baradji M. 14. De Neve D. 52. Dlamini N. 47. Doherty A. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 35. Michalski N. (G) 3. Pickering H. 4. Ribeiro Y.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Jones A. ↓, Edmundson G. ↑,
31', Gilbert A. 🟨,
33', Morishita R. 🟨,
45+2', Morishita R. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Edmundson G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
46', Hamilton M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
67', Gilbert A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
73', Targett M. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
76', Hedges R. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,
76', Tronstad S. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
80', Hackney H. 🟨,
90+3', Henriksson A. ↓, Dlamini N. ↑,
90+3', Cantwell T. ↓, Ribeiro Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1.

Middlesbrough is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Blackburn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Blackburn has had a series of home games.

In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Calf Injury) Kante A. (Groin Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morris A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Alebiosu R. (International duty) Carter H. (Calf Injury) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Kargbo A. (Leg Injury) Montgomery K. (Ankle Injury) Toth B. (Knee Injury) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

We predict that Middlesbrough will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.5:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.96%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
20.12.25	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
20.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:2
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
English League Championship
27.11.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
16.03.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
16.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1
29.12.22	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	1:2
15.10.22	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	1:2

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