Match Info

Championship - Round 21

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Middlesbrough		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	4	Watch
	1.86	3.69	4.12	Watch
	1.92	3.78	4.13
	1.86	3.76	4.03	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.86	3.81	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.79)	3.71 ↓ (3.87)	4.09 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
51.1%

Draw
25.6%

Queens Park Rangers
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). QPR will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 57.1%). QPR (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 5. Jones A. 3. Targett M. 12. Ayling L. 11. Whittaker M. 16. Browne A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 8. McGree R. 9. Conway T. 13. Strelec D.	1. Nardi P. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 11. Smyth P. 40. Varane J. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 16. Burrell R.
Substitutes
24. Bangura A. 10. Burgzorg D. 25. Edmundson G. 14. Gilbert A. 17. Hamilton M. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S.	23. Bennie D. 5. Cook S. 7. Dembele K. 28. Esquerdinha 12. Frey M. 29. Hamer B. (G) 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 17. Poku K.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Strelec D. ⚽, Hackney H. (A),
32', McGree R. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽, Brynn S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Conway T. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Cook S. ↑,
60', Saito K. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
61', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
64', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
64', McGree R. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
64', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Madsen N. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
78', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
83', Whittaker M. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
90+4', Hackney H. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morris A. (Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Field S. (Injury) Kolli R. (Muscle Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Vale H. (Inactive) Walsh J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in QPR: Smyth P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.71%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 22.9%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
09.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
26.11.25	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.03.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
05.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	1:4
09.03.24	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:2
02.09.23	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	0:2
18.02.23	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1
06.08.22	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	3:2
09.02.22	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	2:2

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