Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Nottingham Forest		Hull City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2
	1.9	3.5	3.9
	1.88	3.5	4.5
	1.93	3.25	4.1
	1.96	3.46	4.33
	1.95	3.3	4
	1.95	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)	3.44 ↑ (3.32)	4.16 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
49.4%

Draw
27.7%

Hull City
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nottingham Forest - Hull City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 19).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 11 (7.41%), has project points - 64, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has the most likely position - 21 (12.59%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
11.12.21	Swansea City - Nottingham Forest	1:4 ✺
04.12.21	Nottingham Forest - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
26.11.21	West Bromwich Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
23.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Reading - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTTT
- Hull City
English League Championship
11.12.21	Hull City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Reading - Hull City	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Hull City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
24.11.21	Cardiff City - Hull City	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Hull City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.19	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
23.10.19	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	1:2
09.03.19	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	3:0
24.11.18	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
10.02.18	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	0:2
English FA Cup
27.01.18	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	2:1
English League Championship
28.10.17	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	2:3

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