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Current Win Probability
Midtjylland 23.5%
Draw 25.1%
Lazio 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
25.6%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
25.4%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.6%
7.1%
83.3%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(165 of 198 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 88.52%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Midtjylland has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a small chance of 2nd (10%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lazio has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (57%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a small chance of 3rd (12%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality59, importance50, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Midtjylland is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lazio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Lazio have a series of home games.
In this match Lazio is a favorite.
There will not play in Midtjylland: Junior Brumado
(Muscle Injury)
Ortiz Cabezas P. A.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Lazio: Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Lazzari M.
(Muscle Injury)
Africa
Australia
Denmark
Finland
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Sweden
United-kingdom
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