Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Milan		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	10
	1.33	5.25	9.25
	1.33	5.5	11
	1.33	5.2	9.2
	1.35	5.4	10
	1.3	5.25	10
	1.33	5.4	10.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.29 ↑ (5.14)	9.96 ↑ (8.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN, UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Milan
72.2%

Draw
18.2%

Dinamo Zagreb
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.6%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.2%	8.3%	16.5%

Milan - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 121 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 91 - 75.2%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 20 - 16.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 67.5% – 82.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Milan has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (32%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (22%), has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Dinamo Zagreb has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 71, very big importance 91, big match rating 81. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Milan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Zagreb is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Milan is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Florenzi A. (Muscle Injury) Ibrahimovic Z. (Knee Injury) Krunic R. (Muscle Injury) Origi D. (Muscle Injury) Rebic A. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Menalo L. (Injury) Sutalo B. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
10.09.22	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.09.22	Milan - Inter Milan	3:2 ✺
30.08.22	Sassuolo - Milan	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Milan - Bologna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
10.09.22	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
02.09.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Bodø Glimt	4:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWW

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