Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Millwall		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.54	4.28	5.92
	1.57	4.33	5.97
	1.57	4.17	5.73	Watch
	1.57	4	6
	1.57	4.25	5.55	Watch
	1.54	4.28	5.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.95)	5.76 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
60.9%

Draw
22.6%

Plymouth Argyle
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Millwall - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 24. De Norre C. 23. Saville G. 11. Azeez F. 39. Honeyman G. 25. Esse R. 26. Ivanovic M.	31. Grimshaw D. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. 2. Mumba B. 18. Gyabi D. 20. Randell A. 10. Whittaker M. 15. Bundu M. 11. Wright C. 9. Hardie R.
Substitutes
22. Emakhu A. 45. Harding W. 16. Kelly D. 17. Langstaff M. 44. Massey A. 2. McNamara D. 13. Roberts L. (G) 3. Wallace M. 14. Wintle R.	28. Al Hajj R. 27. Forshaw A. 19. Gray A. 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 25. Marosi M. (G) 14. Obafemi M. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V.
Coaches
Harris N.	Rooney W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Honeyman G. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Esse R. ⚽, Honeyman G. (A),
45+1', Azeez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Saville G. 🟨,
62', Hardie R. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
62', Bundu M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
62', Wright C. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
63', Szucs K. 🟨,
70', Azeez F. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,
76', Cooper J. 🟨,
78', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
78', De Norre C. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
80', Gyabi D. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
83', Esse R. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
85', Bryan J. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 20).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Millwall is a favorite.

There will not play in Millwall: Bradshaw T. (Muscle Injury) Coburn J. (Knock) Emakhu A. (Red Card) Mitchell B. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I. (Red Card) Hazard C. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
19.10.24	Millwall - Derby County	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	Cardiff City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Millwall - Preston North End	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0 ✺
05.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	West Bromwich Albion - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.04.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
03.10.23	Plymouth Argyle - Millwall	0:2
English League Cup
29.08.18	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	3:2
English EFL Trophy
10.11.15	Plymouth Argyle - Millwall	3:5

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