Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Burnley		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6.5
	1.42	4.9	6.83	Watch
	1.44	4.96	6.85
	1.45	4.81	6.56	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7.5
	1.43	4.85	6.8	Watch
	1.42	4.9	6.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.82 ↓ (4.85)	6.8 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
66.3%

Draw
19.7%

Plymouth Argyle
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Burnley - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 17. Foster L.	31. Grimshaw D. (G) 44. Palsson V. 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. (C) 3. Ogbeta N. 18. Gyabi D. 20. Randell A. 10. Whittaker M. 28. Al Hajj R. 7. Cissoko I. 9. Hardie R.
Substitutes
48. Agyei E. 3. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 29. Laurent J. 42. Massengo H. 9. Rodriguez J. 7. Sarmiento J.	15. Bundu M. 22. Galloway B. . Hatch J. 4. Houghton J. 25. Marosi M. (G) 2. Mumba B. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Parker S.	Rooney W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Brownhill J. (Pen),
33', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Ogbeta N. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
66', Cissoko I. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
72', Koleosho L. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
81', Al Hajj R. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
81', Palsson V. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
82', Foster L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
82', Mejbri H. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
88', Gyabi D. ↓, Hatch J. ↑,
90+1', Cullen J. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burnley is certain favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
28.09.24	Oxford United - Burnley	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Burnley - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Leeds United - Burnley	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTL
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
27.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	West Bromwich Albion - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sunderland	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Plymouth Argyle - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
28.08.12	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 pen.

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