Match Info

Championship - Round 13

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Oxford United		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.21	2.67	Watch
	2.82	3.22	2.54	Watch
	2.74	3.16	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.82)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.58 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
34.5%

Draw
29.1%

Millwall
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Oxford United - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 4. Vaulks W. 17. Mills S. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 50. Krastev F. 27. Lankshear W.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 25. Cundle L. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw T. 29. Davies B. 23. Dembele S. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 7. Placheta P. 16. Prelec N.	31. Bangura-Williams R. 23. Bryan J. 43. Coleman J. (G) 22. Emakhu A. 45. Harding W. 17. Langstaff M. 8. Mitchell B. 10. Neghli C. 6. Taylor C.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ballo T. ⚽, Leonard R. (A),
35', Azeez F. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. ⚽, Mills S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Cundle L. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
61', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
62', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Cooper J. ⚽,
73', Vaulks W. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
73', Krastev F. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
73', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
80', 🟨,
82', Mills S. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
90+4', Leonard R. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Placheta P. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3.

Oxford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Oxford has had a series of away games.

Recently, Millwall has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Injury) Spencer B. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
25.10.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Wrexham - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Oxford United - Derby County	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Watford - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLT
- Millwall
English League Championship
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Millwall - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Millwall - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Millwall - Coventry City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.25	Millwall - Oxford United	0:1
30.11.24	Oxford United - Millwall	1:1
English League Cup
27.08.19	Oxford United - Millwall	3:2 penalties
English League One
22.04.17	Millwall - Oxford United	0:3
29.10.16	Oxford United - Millwall	1:2
English EFL Trophy
02.02.16	Oxford United - Millwall	0:1
14.01.16	Millwall - Oxford United	0:2

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