Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Milton Keynes Dons		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.25	3.38	3.29
	2.23	3.28	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.22	3.32	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	3.3 ↓ (3.52)	3.21 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
42.2%

Draw
28.5%

Port Vale
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGill T. (G) 4. Tucker J. 17. Offord L. 23. Maguire L. 16. Nemane A. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 10. Kelly L. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. White J. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 18. Leigh T.	1. Ripley C. (G) 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. 4. Heneghan B. 27. Cover B. 18. Croasdale R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 23. Shorrock J. 19. Tolaj L. 11. Curtis R. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
28. Carroll T. 9. Harrison E. 29. Hogan S. 21. Ilunga B. 3. Lewington D. 15. MacGillivray C. (G) 6. Williams M.	13. Amos B. (G) 10. Chislett E. 32. Hackford A. 16. Lowe J. 17. Paton R. 26. Richards R. 20. Sang T.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Moore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Debrah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', White J. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
67', Leigh T. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
67', Cover B. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
67', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
70', Maguire L. 🟨,
74', Curtis R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Hackford A. ⚽, Shorrock J. (A),
88', Croasdale R. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
89', Richards R. 🟨,
90+3', Stockley J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

MK Dons will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.66%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Arsenal U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
05.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
01.10.24	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5 ✺
28.09.24	Bromley - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTT
- Port Vale
English League Two
05.10.24	Notts County - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
01.10.24	Port Vale - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Port Vale - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Accrington Stanley - Port Vale	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Port Vale - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.23	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
16.08.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	2:1
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	0:1
English League Two
22.04.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	1:1
02.10.18	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2
English League One
25.03.17	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0
09.10.16	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	0:1

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