Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 15

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday


	Minija Kretinga		Marijampolė City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	3.21	3.68	1.92
	3.5	3.25	1.85
	3.65	3.64	1.86
	2.7	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.94)	3.47 ↑ (3.17)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
28.1%

Draw
26.2%

Marijampolė City
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.3%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Marijampolė City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Minija Kretinga - Marijampolė City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Minija will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Marijampolė City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marijampolė City: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Minija is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Marijampolė City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Minija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Minija will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Minija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
23.06.23	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Minija Kretinga - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
22.05.23	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTWW
- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
10.06.23	Transinvest - Marijampolė City	3:1 ✺
04.06.23	Jonava - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
26.05.23	Neptūnas - Marijampolė City	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.05.23	Marijampolė City - Banga Gargždai	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
19.05.23	Marijampolė City - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.22	Marijampolė City - Minija Kretinga	2:0

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