Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Allianz Field (Minnesota)


	Minnesota United		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.25	3.65	2.8
	2.44	3.67	2.86
	2.35	3.1	2.62
	2.38	3.42	2.76	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	2.72 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
39.1%

Draw
27.1%

Philadelphia Union
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Minnesota United - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Minnesota is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Philadelphia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Minnesota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
06.05.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	3:2 ✺
30.04.23	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
25.04.23	Detroit City - Minnesota United	1:3 ✺
MLS
22.04.23	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Minnesota United - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
06.05.23	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
02.05.23	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	3:0 ✺
26.04.23	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
MLS
22.04.23	Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC	4:2 ✺
15.04.23	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.02.22	Philadelphia Union - Minnesota United	1:1
20.10.21	Minnesota United - Philadelphia Union	3:2
02.06.19	Minnesota United - Philadelphia Union	2:3
06.10.18	Philadelphia Union - Minnesota United	5:1
09.09.17	Minnesota United - Philadelphia Union	1:1

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