Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)


	Philadelphia Union		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.75	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.71	3.44
	2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.09	3.75	3.15	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.89)	3.68 ↑ (3.51)	3.22 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
45.3%

Draw
25.6%

Los Angeles
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (G) 26. Harriel N. 3. Elliott J. 17. Lowe D. 27. Wagner K. 11. Bedoya A. (C) 20. Bueno J. 16. McGlynn J. 10. Gazdag D. 9. Carranza J. 7. Uhre M.	16. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 3. Murillo J. 33. Long A. 2. Maldonado D. 12. Palacios D. (C) 23. Acosta K. 19. Bogusz M. 11. Tillman T. 25. Olivera C. 7. Biuk S.
Substitutes
28. Baribo T. 12. Bendik J. (G) 25. Donovan C. 29. Makhanya O. 15. Mbaizo O. 14. Rafanello J. 2. Real M. 33. Sullivan Q. 19. Torres J.	99. Bouanga D. 18. Duenas E. 50. Krastev F. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 27. Ordaz N. 30. Palencia S. 6. Sanchez I. 10. Vela C.
Coaches
Curtin J.	Cherundolo S.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 0.

Recent matches Philadelphia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Los Angeles is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Philadelphia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Philadelphia will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Flach L. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
20.09.23	Charlotte - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
30.08.23	Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	DC United - Philadelphia Union	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLW
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
20.09.23	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy	4:2 ✺
09.09.23	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Los Angeles - Inter Miami	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Charlotte - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
02.05.23	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	3:0
26.04.23	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles	1:1
MLS
05.11.22	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	4:3 penalties
07.05.22	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	2:2
08.03.20	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	3:3
14.09.19	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles	1:1
30.06.18	Los Angeles - Philadelphia Union	4:1

Upcoming Matches