The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirassol 29.6%
Draw 30.9%
Atlético Mineiro 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
29%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Mirassol (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 21. Jose Aldo 41. Yago Felipe 8. Danielzinho (C) 11. Negueba 95. Edson Carioca 17. Cristian Renato
22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 14. Vitor Hugo 47. Romulus 6. Alonso J. 21. Franco A. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 28. Cuello 44. Rubens 33. Rony 7. Hulk (C)
Substitutes
10. Chico Kim 29. Clayson 20. Daniel Borges 70. Daniel Fabricio 44. Gabriel 27. Gabriel 77. Iury Castilho 99. Maceio 18. Matheus Bianqui 25. Neto Moura 5. Roni 22. Walter (G)
11. Bernard 38. Caio Paulista 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 16. Igor Rabello 19. Joao Marcelo 20. Patrick Silva 35. Pedro Ataide 26. Renzo Saravia 31. Robert (G) 23. Roman I. 27. Ze Phelipe
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes
Cuca
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Edson Carioca ⚽, Cristian Renato (A),
28', Hulk 🟨,
34', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Franco A. ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
46', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
50', Alex Muralha 🟨,
57', Daniel Borges 🟨,
61', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
61', Romulus ↓, Bernard ↑,
67', Yago Felipe ↓, Gabriel ↑,
67', Edson Carioca ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Rony ⚽, Hulk (A),
74', Negueba ↓, Maceio ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Hulk (Pen),
82', Jose Aldo ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
82', Maceio 🟨,
83', Rony ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
89', Alonso J. ↓, Roman I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Reinaldo ⚽,
90+5', Roman I. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Mirassol: Gabriel
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
Junior Santos
(Muscle Injury)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Brazil
China
Watch
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Alex Muralha (G) 
Alonso J. 
Franco A. 
Cuello 
Roman I. 
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