Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	2.75	3.15	2.45
	2.83	3.52	2.53
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.78	3.4	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.98)	3.27 ↑ (2.95)	2.46 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
33.8%

Draw
28.4%

Albirex Niigata
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

32.6%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mito HollyHock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	36.4%	31.8%

Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Niigata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
21.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
14.05.22	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
04.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Mito HollyHock - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
21.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC	3:0 ✺
15.05.22	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy	4:3 ✺
04.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	4:0
26.06.21	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	0:0
18.10.20	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	1:3
25.07.20	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	1:0
28.09.19	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	3:0
28.04.19	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	0:0
23.09.18	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	0:1

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