Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.87
	2.22	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.4	3.38
	2.23	3.43	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.22	3.34	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)	3.28 (3.28)	3.17 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
41.8%

Draw
28.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 2. Danilo Cardoso 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 3. Osaki K. 19. Semba T. 14. Arai M. 29. Tada K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)	31. Kimura R. (G) 2. Kato R. 44. Deng T. 22. Tsunoda R. (C) 35. Sekitomi K. 28. Yamane R. 19. Tevis 6. Watanabe K. 24. Kondo T. 26. David D. 18. Onaiwu G.
Substitutes
71. Fofana M. 87. Gokita K. 22. Kubo S. 70. Matheus Leiria 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 4. Ushizawa T. 39. Yamamoto H. 24. Yamazaki K.	11. Croux J. 21. Iikura H. (G) 13. Inoue T. 34. Kimura T. 23. Miyaichi R. 33. Suwama K. 32. Tanaka Y. 9. Tanimura K. 30. Yuri Araujo
Coaches
Kimori D.	Oshima H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Omori S. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Tada K. ⚽,
65', Watanabe A. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
65', Onaiwu G. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
65', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
73', Semba T. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
73', Arai M. ↓, Gokita K. ↑,
77', Kondo T. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
77', Yamane R. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
84', Torikai Y. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
84', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
86', Sekitomi K. ↓, Inoue T. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place))

Mito HollyHock is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yokohama FM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Hayakawa U. (Knee Injury) Nemoto R. (Injury)

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Asada H. (Knee Injury) Higuchi A. (Knee Injury) Matsubara K. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Injury) Park Il-gyu (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02% Mito: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Mito HollyHock - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties

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