Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Modena		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.4
	3.1	3.2	2.28	Watch
	3.15	3.28	2.26	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.19	3.32	2.29	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
30.2%

Draw
29%

Sassuolo
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Modena - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (C) 6. Magnino L. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 18. Di Pardo A. 16. Gerli F. 29. Cotali M. 8. Santoro S. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 9. Gliozzi E.	31. Moldovan H. (C) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 8. Ghion A. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 40. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 24. Moro L.
Substitutes
78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 31. Botteghin E. 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 92. Defrel G. 7. Duca E. 27. Idrissi R. 93. Kamate I. 11. Mendes P. 24. Oliva M. 1. Seculin A. (G)	35. Lipani L. 20. Lovato M. 36. Mazzitelli L. 9. Mulattieri S. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 90. Skjellerup L. 99. Verdi S. 7. Volpato C.
Coaches
Mandelli P.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Romagna F. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽,
40', Iannoni E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
64', 1 - 2, Lauriente A. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
67', Magnino L. 🟨,
73', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Moro L. ⚽, Iannoni E. (A),
77', Moro L. 🟨,
79', Zaro G. 🟨,
81', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
81', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
81', Ghion A. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
82', Di Pardo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
86', Berardi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
87', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
87', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 2.

Recent matches Modena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Modena - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
05.04.25	Pisa - Modena	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Modena - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Juve Stabia - Modena	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Salernitana - Modena	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLT
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
06.04.25	Palermo - Sassuolo	5:3 ✺
29.03.25	Sassuolo - Reggiana	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sassuolo - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0
Coppa Italia
08.08.22	Modena - Sassuolo	3:2
15.08.15	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0
Italian Serie B
26.04.13	Modena - Sassuolo	2:1
07.12.12	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0
06.04.12	Sassuolo - Modena	N/A

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