Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Monaco		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.7	4.15	4.45
	1.64	4.39	4.53	Watch
	1.71	4.31	4.68	Watch
	1.69	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	4.25 ↓ (4.84)	4.5 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
56.4%

Draw
22.4%

Paris FC
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.7%	11.3%	0%

Monaco - Paris FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Monaco (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 5. Kehrer T. (C) 22. Salisu M. 12. Caio Henrique 27. Diatta K. 4. Teze J. 28. Coulibaly M. 20. Ouattara K. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 14. Biereth M.	35. Trapp K. (G) 31. Chergui S. 5. Mbow M. 6. Otavio 2. Ollila T. 33. Lees-Melou P. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. (C) 27. Simon M. 11. Krasso J.
Substitutes
9. Balogun F. 41. Cabral P. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 43. Kiwa B. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 21. Michal L. 18. Minamino T.	13. Cafaro M. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 9. Geubbels W. 29. Hamel P. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 20. Lopez J. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 36. Prouchet K.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Otavio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ouattara K. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
46', Biereth M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
47', Camara A. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Simon M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
61', Akliouche M. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
61', Golovin A. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
75', Krasso J. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
81', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
82', Coulibaly M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
85', Minamino T. 🟨,
90', Simon M. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
90+1', Ollila T. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,
90+6', Camara A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
90+8', Fati A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

Monaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Paris FC has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Ankle Injury) Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Pogba P. (Ankle Injury) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: De Smet T. (Red Card) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Sangui N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Injury) Vanderson (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Muscle Injury) Ikone J. (Injury) Lopez J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Nantes - Monaco	3:5 ✺
25.10.25	Monaco - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Angers - Monaco	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTTT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nice - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.15	Paris FC - Monaco	0:0

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