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Current Win Probability
Monaco 33.2%
Draw 30%
Real Sociedad 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
28%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
20.6%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.4%
41.8%
35.8%
Monaco - Real Sociedad Predictions
Users Predictions:
67 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 15 - 22.4%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 24 - 35.8%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 41.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30% โ 53.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Monaco has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 8, has a good chance of 1st (60%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%).
Real Sociedad has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a small chance of win league (6%), has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (33%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (30%).
Recent matches Monaco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Sociedad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.