Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Monagas		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.84	3.2	2.1
	3.77	3.26	2.09	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.74	3.47	2.06	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.75)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	2.08 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
25.7%

Draw
29%

Cerro Porteño
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monagas's form might have worsened.

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Porteño's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Monagas - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivares R. (G) 21. Iniguez E. 6. Piris O. 19. Manrique R. 29. Henry N. 11. Gallardo E. 8. Romero A. 18. Caraballo J. 7. Basante F. 9. Rodriguez T. 23. Lovera J.	25. Fernandez R. (G) 23. Velazquez G. 3. Perez M. 5. Morel J. 13. Benitez A. G. 8. Carrizo F. 26. Piris R. 7. Sonora A. 10. Dominguez C. 19. Chico 27. Torres J.
Substitutes
33. Alderete E. 16. Carrion E. 5. Macelli A. 31. Maitan M. 35. Natera S. 34. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 32. Ramirez C. 12. Riveros T. (G) 14. Rivero V. 77. Rodriguez L. 39. Rodriguez R. 30. Sulbaran Y.	21. Araujo S. 28. Farina A. 38. Favero C. 30. Gimenez G. 11. Iturbe J. 1. Martin A. (G) 16. Nunez A. 36. Olmedo L. 4. Rivas L. 22. Rodriguez D. 18. Valdez B. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Ferreira J.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', Chico 🟨,
13', Manrique R. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Chico ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
27', Lovera J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Benitez A. G. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
37', Piris O. 🟥,
40', Sonora A. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 3, Dominguez C. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manrique R. ↓, Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. ↑,
46', Lovera J. ↓, Rivero V. ↑,
46', Basante F. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
46', Dominguez C. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
46', Chico ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Viera W. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
67', Caraballo J. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
72', Torres J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
73', Piris R. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
78', Viera W. 🟨,
81', Henry N. ↓, Sulbaran Y. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerro Porteño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monagas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monagas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.02.25	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Monagas	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.02.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.01.25	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.02.25	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.05.18	Cerro Porteño - Monagas	3:2
27.02.18	Monagas - Cerro Porteño	0:2

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