Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Monagas		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.35	3.2	2.25
	3.55	3.25	2.25
	3	3	2.2
	3.32	3.34	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.68)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	2.22 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
28.6%

Draw
29.2%

Deportivo Pereira
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monagas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Pereira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Monagas - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pereira: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mosquera O. (G) 2. Ramirez R. 31. Cummings H. 14. Rodriguez C. 27. Anderson I. 51. Rivas C. 6. Quinonez A. 19. Gonzalez O. 34. Castillo E. 10. Navas E. 9. Arroyo A.	1. Quintana A. (G) 14. Juan Quintero 25. Vasquez J. 26. Suarez Y. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 13. Zuluaga J. 20. Velasquez Y. 27. Fory J. 18. Medina M. 30. Rodriguez A. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 7. Basante F. 17. Blondell A. 16. Carrion E. 32. Guevara D. 23. Herrera S. 15. Iriarte R. 35. Natera S. 20. Perozo G. 12. Roa J. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 39. Rodriguez R.	19. Aladesanmi K. 8. Angulo L. 4. Gutierrez T. 3. Hernandez D. 11. Johan Bocanegra 24. Moreno Abadia J. C. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 7. Palacios K. 5. Perea G. 6. Restrepo E. 28. Santacruz J. 15. Valencia K.
Coaches
Ferreira J.	Restrepo A.

Preview

Monagas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pereira in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Pereira have a series of home games.

Pereira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monagas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Copa Libertadores
23.05.23	Monagas - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.05.23	Monagas - Caracas	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Rayo Zuliano - Monagas	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Monagas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Deportivo Pereira
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Monagas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Monagas	2:1

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