Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.78
	2.4	3.57	2.9
	2.32	3.6	2.77	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.27	3.35	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.45)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	2.79 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
40.1%

Draw
26.8%

Loudoun United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Monterey Bay - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 22. Garcia J. 5. Gordon N. (C) 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 11. Leggett W. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 88. Lletget S. 9. Bidois R. 20. Paul I.	41. Bandre E. (G) 2. Adnan N. 51. Essengue A. 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. (C) 33. Piras L. 21. Akinyode B. 19. Aman R. 10. Santos P. 17. Ulfarsson T.
Substitutes
23. Blancas E. 33. Carbajal D. 1. Delgado F. (G) 25. Egwu K. 8. Lomtadze G. 6. Malesevic L. 19. Nadje C. 7. Rebollar A.	11. Aboukoura A. 24. Erlandson J. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 9. Ordonez A. 16. Panayotou J. 22. Torres C.
Coaches
Covelo A.	Limbrick A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bidois R. ⚽, Paul I. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Leggett W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Piras L. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
46', Murphy J. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Ordonez A. ⚽, Aman R. (A),
53', Akinyode B. 🟨,
62', 3 - 1, Bidois R. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Santos P. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
63', Garcia J. ↓, Malesevic L. ↑,
63', Leggett W. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
67', Adnan N. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
75', Bidois R. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
75', Essengue A. ↓, Aboukoura A. ↑,
78', Lletget S. 🟨,
82', Farnsworth Z. 🟨,
86', 4 - 1, Nadje C. ⚽, Blancas E. (A),
87', Lletget S. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
88', Ross N. ↓, Rebollar A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
23.05.26	Monterey Bay - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Boise - Monterey Bay	4:3 ✺
USL Championship
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
23.05.26	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Brooklyn - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.05.24	Loudoun United - Monterey Bay	3:0
03.06.23	Monterey Bay - Loudoun United	4:1
30.07.22	Loudoun United - Monterey Bay	0:1

Upcoming Matches