Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday


	Montevideo Wanderers		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.25
	1.66	3.65	4.5
	1.74	3.93	4.85
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.75	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.89)	3.71 ↑ (3.47)	4.44 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
54.4%

Draw
24.8%

Sud América
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montevideo Wanderers's performance.

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15).

Wanderers is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sud América is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wanderers is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:2 ✺
03.11.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
29.10.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
21.10.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWTW
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América	1:2 ✺
04.11.21	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Sud América - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
25.10.21	Progreso - Sud América	0:0 ✺
21.10.21	Sud América - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
09.08.21	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
26.11.17	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	1:0
09.07.17	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	2:0
07.05.17	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2
23.10.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	2:1
07.05.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	0:2
31.10.15	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0

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