Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.96	5.92
	1.55	4.11	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.59	3.85	6.08	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	3.87 ↓ (3.9)	5.87 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
59.8%

Draw
24.2%

Carrarese
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Monza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Carrarese aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Monza - Carrarese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 15. Delli Carri F. 13. Ravanelli L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. 7. Azzi P. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D. 26. Ciurria P.	1. Bleve M. (G) 26. Ruggeri F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 77. Parlanti G. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 9. Abiuso F.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 21. Colombo L. 23. Galazzi N. 4. Izzo A. 3. Lucchesi L. 9. Maric M. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J.	7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 37. Calabrese N. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 70. Hasa L. 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 21. Rubino T. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽,
13', Parlanti G. 🟨,
40', Zanon S. 🟨,
42', Illanes J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
45+3', Schiavi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Parlanti G. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
46', Illanes J. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽, Ciurria P. (A),
58', Finotto M. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
58', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
67', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
67', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
68', Mota D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Di Stefano F. ⚽,
74', Azzi P. ↓, Capolupo S. ↑,
80', Schiavi N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
86', Ravanelli L. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Colpani A. (Inactive) Forson O. (Knee Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Arena A. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Monza: Mota D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Venezia - Monza	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pescara - Monza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sampdoria - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Palermo - Carrarese	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.19	Monza - Carrarese	2:2
04.02.18	Carrarese - Monza	1:0
24.09.17	Monza - Carrarese	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.08.17	Monza - Carrarese	0:0

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