Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 22

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4, Net4+
India	01:15	GXR World
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	00:45	ICE Sports
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Montenegro	20:45	Arena Premium 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	22:45	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	22:45	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball


	Genoa		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.7
	2.28	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.31	3.07	3.73
	2.25	3.06	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.6
	2.34	3.1	3.77	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	3.64 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
42.2%

Draw
31.6%

Monza
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	41.7%	15%

Genoa - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 26 - 44.1%). Monza will win (votes: 8 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 42.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 31.4% – 56.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 20. Sabelli S. 4. De Winter K. 22. Vasquez J. 3. Martin A. 32. Frendrup M. (C) 73. Masini P. 53. Kasa L. 2. Thorsby M. 23. Miretti F. 19. Pinamonti A.	30. Turati S. (G) 33. D'Ambrosio D. 4. Izzo A. 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 8. Urbanski K. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 10. Caprari G. 14. Maldini D.
Substitutes
47. Badelj M. 8. Bohinen E. 70. Cornet M. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 33. Matturro A. 10. Messias J. 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 11. Pereiro G. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 99. Stolz F. (G) 76. Venturino L. 9. Vitinha	42. Bianco A. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 3. Lekovic S. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 12. Sensi S. 27. Valoti M. 80. Vignato S.
Coaches
Vieira P.	Bocchetti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Caprari G. 🟨,
30', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
31', Pinamonti A. (Pen),
43', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
45', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
55', Kasa L. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, De Winter K. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
62', Bianco A. 🟨,
68', Caprari G. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
68', Maldini D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
74', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Lekovic S. ↑,
77', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Vasquez J. ⚽, Cornet M. (A),
86', Thorsby M. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
86', Miretti F. ↓, Vitinha ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Genoa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Genoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Genoa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Birindelli S. (Thigh Injury) Bondo W. (Thigh Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Mari P. (Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury) Vitinha (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
17.01.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Lecce - Genoa	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Empoli - Genoa	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Genoa - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
18.01.25	Bologna - Monza	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Monza - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Monza - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1
09.03.24	Genoa - Monza	2:3
10.12.23	Monza - Genoa	1:0

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