Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	17:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	17:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
	2.48	2.98	3.2	Watch
	2.5	3.05	3.36
	2.46	3.03	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.46	3.08	3.34	Watch
	2.5	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.14)	3.02 ↓ (3.34)	3.26 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
39%

Draw
31.7%

Verona
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	39.5%	28.9%

Monza - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Verona will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.1% – 53.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 3. Lekovic S. 22. Palacios T. 13. Pereira P. 8. Urbanski K. 12. Sensi S. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 80. Vignato S. 47. Mota D.	1. Montipo L. (C) 4. Daniliuc F. 42. Coppola D. 87. Ghilardi D. 38. Tchatchoua J. 25. Serdar S. 6. Belahyane R. 12. Bradaric D. 31. Suslov T. 35. Mosquera D. 9. Sarr A.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 44. Carboni A. 11. Castrovilli G. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G)	72. Ajayi J. 22. Berardi A. (G) 80. Cisse A. 82. Corradi C. 21. Dani Silva 27. Dawidowicz P. 20. Kastanos G. 7. Lambourde M. 8. Lazovic D. 10. Niasse C. 15. Okou Y. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 14. Rocha Livramento D.
Coaches
Bocchetti S.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Lekovic S. (Own goal),
29', Mosquera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Serdar S. ↓, Niasse C. ↑,
53', Niasse C. 🟨,
56', Izzo A. 🟨,
58', Sensi S. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
58', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
67', Turati S. ↓, Pizzignacco S. ↑,
73', Sarr A. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
80', Bradaric D. 🟨,
82', Vignato S. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
82', Palacios T. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
82', Bradaric D. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
83', Mosquera D. ↓, Dawidowicz P. ↑,
87', Martins K. 🟨,
89', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Ajayi J. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

Monza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monza will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Monza: Bianco A. (Yellow Cards) Birindelli S. (Thigh Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Duda O. (Red Card) Frese M. (Knee Injury) Harroui A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Bondo W. (Thigh Injury) Caldirola L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Tengstedt C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.8:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
27.01.25	Genoa - Monza	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bologna - Monza	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Monza - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
27.01.25	Venezia - Verona	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Verona - Udinese	0:0 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.10.24	Verona - Monza	0:3
11.02.24	Monza - Verona	0:0
05.11.23	Verona - Monza	1:3
12.03.23	Verona - Monza	1:1
06.11.22	Monza - Verona	2:0

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