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Monza vs Verona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 01, 2025)

Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
	2.48	2.98	3.2	Watch
	2.5	3.05	3.36
	2.46	3.03	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.46	3.08	3.34	Watch
	2.5	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.14)	3.02 ↓ (3.34)	3.26 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
39%

Draw
31.7%

Verona
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	39.5%	28.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Verona will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.1% – 53.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 3. Lekovic S. 22. Palacios T. 13. Pereira P. 8. Urbanski K. 12. Sensi S. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 80. Vignato S. 47. Mota D.	1. Montipo L. (C) 4. Daniliuc F. 42. Coppola D. 87. Ghilardi D. 38. Tchatchoua J. 25. Serdar S. 6. Belahyane R. 12. Bradaric D. 31. Suslov T. 35. Mosquera D. 9. Sarr A.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 44. Carboni A. 11. Castrovilli G. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G)	72. Ajayi J. 22. Berardi A. (G) 80. Cisse A. 82. Corradi C. 21. Dani Silva 27. Dawidowicz P. 20. Kastanos G. 7. Lambourde M. 8. Lazovic D. 10. Niasse C. 15. Okou Y. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 14. Rocha Livramento D.
Coaches
Bocchetti S.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Lekovic S. (Own goal),
29', Mosquera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Serdar S. ↓, Niasse C. ↑,
53', Niasse C. 🟨,
56', Izzo A. 🟨,
58', Sensi S. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
58', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
67', Turati S. ↓, Pizzignacco S. ↑,
73', Sarr A. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
80', Bradaric D. 🟨,
82', Vignato S. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
82', Palacios T. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
82', Bradaric D. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
83', Mosquera D. ↓, Dawidowicz P. ↑,
87', Martins K. 🟨,
89', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Ajayi J. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

Monza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monza will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Monza: Bianco A. (Yellow Cards) Birindelli S. (Thigh Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Duda O. (Red Card) Frese M. (Knee Injury) Harroui A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Bondo W. (Thigh Injury) Caldirola L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Tengstedt C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.8:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
27.01.25	Genoa - Monza	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bologna - Monza	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Monza - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
27.01.25	Venezia - Verona	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Verona - Udinese	0:0 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.10.24	Verona - Monza	0:3
11.02.24	Monza - Verona	0:0
05.11.23	Verona - Monza	1:3
12.03.23	Verona - Monza	1:1
06.11.22	Monza - Verona	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Mantova - Monza	✺
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Juventus - Verona	✺

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Monza - Verona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide