Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Nativa
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Moquegua		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.65	3.00	2.45
	2.8	3.1	2.52
	2.42	3.12	3.04
	2.83	3.1	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3
	2.33	3.03	3.23	Watch
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.18)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.87 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
37.1%

Draw
30.5%

Alianza Atlético
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

30.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moquegua's form might have worsened.

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moquegua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Moquegua - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moquegua will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 4. Perleche A. 20. Ramirez D. 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo	31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 16. Fernandez S. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 23. Munoz A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 17. Penilla C. 27. Ingratti J. 29. Molina J.
Substitutes
10. Chavez N. 16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 24. Lecaros A. 88. Lopez Y. 14. Ramirez C. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.	22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 19. Mendieta J. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V.
Coaches
Serna J.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Ingratti J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Bryan Angulo ⚽, Lastre E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Molina J. ⚽,
33', Ramirez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ramirez D. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
49', Suarez R. 🟨,
51', Munoz A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Lujan J. ⚽,
59', Chipao R. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
59', Ingratti J. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Penilla C. ⚽, Fernandez S. (A),
68', Zapata Y. 🟥,
76', Munoz A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
76', Penilla C. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
81', Bryan Angulo ↓, Davila A. ↑,
81', Montenegro E. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
83', Molina J. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
83', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, del Castillo J. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),

Preview

Moquegua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza Atlético is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moquegua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Moquegua: Ruiz K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Robaldo V. (Muscle Injury) Villegas J. C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moquegua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.08.26	ADT Tarma - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Sport Huancayo - Moquegua	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Moquegua - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Moquegua - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWTLT
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
25.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0

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