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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 16.4%
Draw 24.2%
Wigan Athletic 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
25.6%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
21%
69%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morecambe - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (21.42%), has project points - 43, has currently - 24, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 1 (33.19%), has project points - 89, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (61%), has a chance of win league (33%).
Recent matches Morecambe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wigan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Wigan is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Watch
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