Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Hadjivassiliou T. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Leixões

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.54	3.8	5.4
	1.56	4.18	6.31
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.54	4.1	5.5
	1.58	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.87 ↑ (3.82)	5.34 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
59%

Draw
23.7%

Leixões
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Moreirense - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Moreirense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leixões is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
29.04.23	Moreirense - Tondela	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Porto B - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Moreirense - Benfica B	7:4 ✺
07.04.23	Farense - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
05.05.23	Leixões - BSAD	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Leixões - Mafra	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Leixões - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Tondela - Leixões	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.23	Leixões - Moreirense	0:1
06.04.14	Moreirense - Leixões	2:0
24.11.13	Leixões - Moreirense	1:1

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