Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)


	Motagua		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	4.6	3.3	1.75
	4.3	3.35	1.75
	4.59	3.36	1.8
	4.5	3.2	1.75
	4.55	3.54	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.76)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	1.79 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
20.6%

Draw
27.4%

Pachuca
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.8%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Motagua - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Motagua will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Pachuca will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Motagua is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Pachuca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pachuca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pachuca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Real España - Motagua	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:3 ✺
25.02.23	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	CD Marathón - Motagua	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTTT
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
04.03.23	Club América - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Pachuca - Toluca	1:2 ✺
16.02.23	Mazatlan - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
11.02.23	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWT

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