Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca)

Referee: Cisneros I. (Sal)


	Pachuca		Motagua

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12	Watch
	1.2	7	12
	1.12	8.1	17
	1.16	6.4	12
	1.17	7.15	13.6
	1.12	6.5	15
	1.18	6.8	15.75	Watch
	1.19	6.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.33)	6.94 ↑ (4.5)	13.67 ↑ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
79.8%

Draw
13.4%

Motagua
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.4%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Pachuca - Motagua Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Motagua will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pachuca is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Motagua is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Motagua have a series of home games.

In this match Pachuca is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
12.03.23	Pachuca - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.03.23	Motagua - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.03.23	Club América - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Pachuca - Toluca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.03.23	Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.03.23	Motagua - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Real España - Motagua	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:3 ✺
25.02.23	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.03.23	Motagua - Pachuca	0:0

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