The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Jalapa 27.4%
Draw 27.4%
Diriangén 45.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.1%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
26.3%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Jalapa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 1.
Jalapa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Diriangén have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Diriangén is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jalapa has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:38 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jalapa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).