The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Limeño 29.6%
Draw 28.3%
Luis Ángel Firpo 42.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.9%
28.4%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
28%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Municipal Limeño - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Aguila R. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 2, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
56', Claros Lopez E. D. 🟥,
83', 2 - 3, Gil C. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1.
Municipal Limeño is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Luis Ángel Firpo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Luis Ángel Firpo holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Luis Ángel Firpo in today's match, at odds of 2.18.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Municipal Limeño has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:36 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Municipal Limeño against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:21 goals (averaging 1.7:2.1 per game).
El Salvador
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