Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Málaga		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.8	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.9
	2.2	2.88	3.8	Watch
	2.18	2.75	3.9
	2.28	2.8	4.28
	2.2	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.21	2.88	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)	2.84 ↓ (2.87)	3.93 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
42.9%

Draw
33.2%

UD Logroñés
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

32.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.5%	24.4%	17.1%

Málaga - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 24 - 58.5%). Logroñés will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 24.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 43.4% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

Málaga has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Málaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Logroñés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Logroñés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Coruxo - Málaga	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Almería - Málaga	3:1 ✺
05.12.20	Málaga - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
01.12.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:2 ✺
27.11.20	Málaga - Lugo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	UD Logroñés - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
10.12.20	Girona - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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