Match Info
Serie B - Round 8Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos) (Recife)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
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Náutico Capibaribe |
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América Mineiro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.91 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.98 |
3.25 |
3.7 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.4 |
4.07 |
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1.94 |
3.31 |
3.93 |
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1.95 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
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1.95 |
3.32 |
3.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.88) |
3.28 ↓
(3.36) |
3.88 ↓
(4.08) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe
47.6% | Draw
28.4% | América Mineiro
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Náutico Capibaribe will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Muriel Becker (C)
93. Reginaldo
3. Betao
23. Igor Fernandes
6. Yuri
41. Samuel Felix
8. Wenderson
7. Vinicius
10. Dodo
11. Victor Andrade
72. Derek
| 1. Gustavo (G)
42. Jhonny
2. Emerson Santos (C)
3. Nathan Pelae
4. Rafa Barcelos
8. Felipe Amaral
11. Thauan
10. Yago Souza
55. Goncalves O.
6. Paulinho
9. Willian Bigode
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| Substitutes |
2. Arnaldo
5. Auremir
30. Felipe Cardoso
98. Felipe Saraiva
55.  Guruceaga G. (G)
46. Gustavo Henrique
18. Halan
29. Junior Todinho
14. Matheus Ribeiro
40. Ramon
22. Vitinho
34. Wanderson
| 16. Ale
96. Artur
5.  Elizari F.
23. Everton Brito
17. Gonzalo Mastriani
88. Jhonatan Lima
22. Leo Alaba
77.  Segovia M.
19. William (G)
67. Yarlen
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| Coaches |
Helio dos Anjos
| Roger Silva
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Vinicius ⚽, Wenderson (A),
- 31', Wenderson 🟨,
- 31', Goncalves O. 🟨,
- 42', Emerson Santos 🟥,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Jhonny (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yago Souza ↓, Ale ↑,
- 46', Jhonny ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 46', Thauan ↓, Artur ↑,
- 46', Willian Bigode ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
- 52', 3 - 0, Dodo ⚽,
- 67', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
- 68', Wenderson ↓, Halan ↑,
- 68', Victor Andrade ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 68', Samuel Felix ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 73', 4 - 0, Vinicius ⚽, Reginaldo (A),
- 78', Dodo ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 79', Derek ↓, Felipe Cardoso ↑,
- 87', Jhonatan Lima 🟨,
- 90+3', Yuri 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 0.Náutico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).América MG has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Náutico will hold a modest advantage in this match.There will not play in Náutico: Juninho
(Injury)
Leonai Souza
(Inactive)
Luiz Felipe
(Yellow Cards)
Paulo Sergio
(Inactive)There will not play in América MG: Artur
(Inactive)
Cassio Meneses
(Inactive)
Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Heitor
(Inactive)
Wesley
(Inactive)There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Nautico: 0.3%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
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| 19 | America MG ✔ | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 12.01.21 | Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro | 0:0 | | 09.10.20 | América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe | 2:0 | | 11.08.17 | América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe | 1:0 | | 12.05.17 | Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro | 0:0 | | 12.09.15 | América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe | 2:1 | | 05.06.15 | Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro | 2:1 | | 07.10.14 | Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro | 1:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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